We, along with anyone even vaguely familiar with the west side of Midtown Manhattan, can predict now that President Barack Obama, along with down-ballot democrats, will win big in the neighborhood. We are not competing, nor can we, with pollsters like The New York Times’ Nate Silver, so we've chosen not to focus on the numbers of this election. Instead, we decided to take a different track. We hope to illuminate why residents in the area vote the way they do.These graphs and numbers are meant to complement and enhance our interviews with residents.
Here's how we did it.
The charts methodologyTurnout and election results for neighborhoods, Manhattan, and the city were calculated using New York City Board of Elections’ election results and New York State Board of Elections’ voter registration data. New York State and United States turnout and election results were complied by George Mason University’s United States Election project. The New York City Campaign Finance Board, a city agency, computed 2008 New York City gender and age turnout information in a June 2012 report.
The graphs methodology
This data was complied by the U.S. Census Bureau following the 2008 general election. The numbers listed are thousands. “New York” refers to New York State, not New York City.
2004-2008 Data:
Voter Turnout By Region, 2004-2008

Voter Turnout in NYC, 2008

Voter Turnout in NYC by Gender, 2008

Voter Turnout By Neighborhood, 2008

Obama's Share of Votes in Neighborhoods, 2008

2012 Data:
Voter Affiliation in the State of New York, 2012

Voter Affiliation in New York City, 2012

Voter Affiliation in Manhattan, 2012

Voter Affiliation in Hell's Kitchen, 2012

Voter Affiliation in Chelsea, 2012

Voter Affiliation in Midtown West, 2012